top of page
Our algorithms automatically analyze thousands of events and react on the most important, opening and closing positions with automation and speed, with little or no directional market risk.
"We offer real-time replication of our proprietary trading activity in crude oil and gold into the security of highly liquid separate accounts held at a designated financial institution. If the way we trade resonates, request an account. Start small. When trust is earned, scale in. No commitments. High liquidity. Withdraw and deposit anytime."
Robert Nash | Empirical Private Investment Office
Empirical isn’t just a name—it’s a declaration of experience. Hundreds of thousands of trades etched into experience—lessons learnt though three decades of trading for a living. We engage with market behavior, price action, momentum, liquidity, and sentiment. We opportunistically trade. We seek asymmetry where being right occasionally—but with large payoffs—can outperform frequent but small wins. We are intentionally highly liquid—and act decisively to changes in market behavior and high-conviction asymmetrical opportunities.
Our trading operation is structured around the vision and capital of Robert Nash—an independent trader with 35 years of experience trading his own capital for a living, and a history of managing proprietary trading firms, an options dynamic hedging operation, and a hedge fund and separate accounts management company. Our trading philosophy is rooted in perceiving markets as dynamic expressions of collective behavior. The trading operation emphasizes agility—executing trades opportunistically based on price activity rather than retrospective analysis.
We trade with the flow of price action. We don’t project where markets might go, we align with where they’re going right now. Others seek patterns in what’s already happened. We trade what’s unfolding. Tactile trading of market liquidity sweeps and liquidity grabs. Every price move reflects participants clustering, reacting, and repositioning. We read those cues and respond. We move fast, enter, exit, reposition, before the crowd catches up.
Our focus is opportunistic trading the price of crude oil and gold—using proprietary analysis driven by market auction activity and enhanced by data-driven insights from sentiment analysis, statistical probabilities, and seasonality information. The underlying premise for our trading strategies is that there is a degree of order to the way that markets move. Position sizing, entry, exit and trade frequency are dictated by current price action, auction dynamics, volatility, liquidity, and asymmetric risk. Performance outcome is a reflection of conviction—leverage, high trade frequency, or single-trade conviction when it matters most.
Understanding market activity and crowd behavior is our edge. This edge comes from viewing the market as a complex but somewhat orderly system shaped by collective behavior. While others search for patterns in lagging indicators, we find them in crowd behavior—the clustering, reacting, and repositioning of participants around key price levels. The market is a crowd of humans (and algorithms coded by humans), driven by emotion, bias, and herd instinct. Price moves because participants reposition in response to perceived opportunity or risk. Fear, greed, fear of missing out—all manifest in clustering behavior around key price levels.
In a world distracted by market forecasts, we focus on market behavior. We trade our own capital. We offer real-time replication of our proprietary trading activity in crude oil and gold into the security of highly liquid separate accounts held at a designated financial institution. We are deliberately boutique—intentionally lean and structured for alignment rather than scale. Our mirrored execution is a reflection of our own trading activities and how we trade our own money.
Markets are influenced by irrational elements—such as emotions and biases. These behaviors aren't static—they change as market conditions evolve. Trading frequency follows clarity. Some days—one trade, one conviction—is worth more than a hundred trades. Our core philosophy is maintaining high liquidity reserves—allowing capital to be committed to high-conviction, asymmetrical opportunities—moments when the potential reward far outweighs the risk. The skill is knowing when opportunities are likely. That knowing isn’t theoretical. It’s earned—thousands of hours watching, waiting, and wading into the crowd.
That’s how we trade. Unapologetically opportunistic. Aligned with price action driven by collective crowd behavior. Behavioral pattern recognition honed over decades. Tactile trading the ebb and flow of market liquidity itself. We don’t seek attention. We don't give advice. We don’t forecast. We provide investors with a transparent, highly liquid, and aligned alternative to opaque fund structures. We don't ask for trust. We earn it. We operate in real time—not on past returns, not on projections, not on hypotheticals. If the way we trade resonates, request an account. Start small. When trust is earned, scale in. No commitments. High liquidity. Withdraw and deposit anytime.
bottom of page