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It's not what you look at that matters, it's what you see.
- Henry David Thoreau

The word empirical means something that is based on observation, experience, or experiment—rather than theory or pure logic. It’s about what can be seen, measured, or tested in the real world. In the context of Empirical Private Investment Office, the name signals a philosophy grounded in what is, not what might be. We don’t rely on forecasts or abstract models—we respond to real-time market behavior, treating price action as a reflection of crowd dynamics. So empirical here isn’t just a name—it’s a declaration: we trade what’s unfolding, not what’s predicted.

We view markets as evolving expressions of crowd behavior. We don’t project where markets might go, we align with where they’re going right now. We trade what we see. Seeing—in the empirical sense—is a skill, a form of real-time interpretation honed by experience, repetition, and tactical intuition. Others seek patterns in what’s already happened. We see a living auction. We trade what’s unfolding. No forecasting, just fast, behavior-driven execution fueled by the ebb and flow of the market. Every price move reflects participants clustering, reacting, and repositioning. We read those cues and respond with tactical execution. Every twitch, stall, and push are the market speaking through crowd behavior. That’s the only language we listen to. We move fast, enter, exit, reposition, before the crowd catches up.

We are a boutique proprietary trading operation structured around the vision and capital of Robert Nash an independent trader with 35 years of experience trading his own capital for a living, and a history of managing proprietary trading firms, separate accounts, options trading desks, and a boutique hedge fund management company. Our behavioral trading philosophy is rooted in perceiving markets as dynamic expressions of collective behavior. The trading operation emphasizes speed, precision, and agility, executing trades based on unfolding crowd behavior rather than retrospective analysis. We are intentionally lean, deliberately exclusive, and structured for one purpose: to generate meaningful returns through precise, opportunistic execution in commodity markets.

Our focus is on opportunistic trading of the price action of crude oil, natural gas, gold, and silver, using proprietary analysis driven by market auction activity and enhanced by data-driven insights from sentiment analysis, statistical probabilities, and seasonality information. The underlying premise for ​our trading strategies is that the purpose of the market is to facilitate trade, and the market is a constant auction process and there is a degree of order to the way that markets move. Where others seek patterns in what’s already happened, we operate at the pulse of what’s unfolding. Real-time synchronicity with crowd sentiment. It’s not about reacting—it's about moving with the markets ebb and flow. Our tactical execution and high trade frequency make it possible to generate meaningful returns. 

Markets are driven by the behavior of the crowd. Understanding market activity and crowd behavior is our edge. This edge comes from viewing the market as a complex but somewhat orderly system shaped by collective behavior and interpreting how prices move in response to crowd dynamics and auction-based market activity. We translate crowd behavior into tradable ebb and flow. Not through predictive models—we observe, and we trade behavior as it unfolds. Not predictive, but perceptive. Not forecasting the future but synchronizing with the now. While others search for patterns in lagging indicators, we find them in crowd behavior—the clustering, reacting, and repositioning of participants around key price levels. 

We see markets through decades of trading for a living— thousands of trades etched into experience.  In a world distracted by market forecasts, we focus on market behavior. We trade our own capital with conviction. For a select few we extend mirrored execution: a high-speed, real-time replication of our proprietary trading activity in the security of separate accounts held at a designated financial institution. We are deliberately boutique—intentionally lean and structured for alignment rather than scale. Our mirrored execution is a reflection of our own trading activities and how we trade our own money. This high-integrity alignment is extended only through longstanding relationships or those introduced through trusted connections. This is capital alignment. Synchronized exposure and shared outcome.

Markets are a living system. It has its moods. It is influenced by irrational elements. Such as emotions and psychological biases. These behaviors aren't static; they change as market conditions evolve. The market will fool most of the people, most of the time. We trade when it matters. Frequency follows clarity. Some days offer hundreds of small trades. Some, just one that matters. The skill is knowing the difference. Some days—one trade, one conviction—is worth more than a hundred trades. We know when to sit and wait. We know when the market is most alive, and when it’s sleeping. That knowing isn’t theoretical. It’s earned—thousands of hours watching, waiting, and wading into the crowd. Because behavior shifts, we stay fluid. We don’t chase momentum—we move with it. We trade when it matters.

That’s how we trade. Unapologetically opportunistic. Aligned with price action driven by collective crowd behavior. Behavioral pattern recognition honed over decades. Tactile trading the ebb and flow of market liquidity itself. Perception over prediction. Precision over pretense. We don’t seek attention. We don’t solicit capital. We don't give advice. We don’t forecast. We trade what we see. We trade with conviction. Ourselves first. Mirrored execution. Shared outcome. Trade by trade, fully aligned. No promises. No projections. Just participation. We don't ask for trust. We earn it. If it resonates, you’ve already found us. 

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